A framework for modelling the risks of climate-change impacts on Australian coasts
RIS ID
100356
Link to publisher version (URL)
Abstract
This chapter describes a framework that integrates geomorphological and engineering understanding of coastal behaviour in a way that can be incorporated into coastal management decisions. It describes probabilistic assessment of a range of possible outcomes and their uncertainties, which can provide planners with greater flexibility than more deterministic approaches. Many studies of the impact of sea-level rise on shorelines adopt a deterministic approach, particularly based on the Bruun Rule, by which a possible shoreline position for some time in the future is portrayed on a map. The repeated beach surveys at Narrabeen Beach represent an adequate dataset against which to compare simulation results.
Publication Details
Woodroffe, C. D., Callaghan, D. P., Cowell, P., Wainwright, D. J., Rogers, K. & Ranasinghe, R. (2014). A framework for modelling the risks of climate-change impacts on Australian coasts. In J. Palutikof, S. L. Boulter, J. Barnett & D. Dr David Rissik (Eds.), Applied Studies in Climate Adaptation (pp. 181-189). United Kingdom: John Wiley & Sons.